Mitt Romney is now confidently sauntering towards the
Republican Presidential nomination as he comfortably beat his nearest and
fiercest opponent Newt Gingrich in the Florida primary. Gingrich, the former
Speaker of the House, appeared last week to be making a serious challenge after
winning the South Carolina primary. However, a series of setbacks including
some effective negative advertising campaigns has seriously undermined his bid
to challenge Barack Obama for the Presidency in November. The other candidates
Rick Santorum and Ron Paul both failed to make double digits.
The results reflected the amount of money spent on
campaigning. Both Santorum and Paul spent nothing in Florida taking fewer than
350,000 votes. According to CNN, Romney outspent Gingrich by 5-1 and crucially
takes all 50 votes from the Florida delegates.
After his victory Romney reflected that he hoped to return
to Tampa in August to be officially confirmed as Republican Presidential
nominee. Perhaps most importantly, he added that he hoped that it will be a
time for all Republicans to reunite behind him.
This is where the issue lies. At his State of the Union
address, President Obama set out his agenda on how the election will be fought:
fairness. He believes that the positioning of the Republican delegates places
his party in a better position to speak to ordinary Americans.
We have already discovered that Romney pays 13.9% income tax
on over $21 million whereas Gingrich received a $1.6 million advisory fee from
the insolvent mortgage lender Freddie Mac. It is a tactic that may easily play
into the hands of Mr Obama, who will also be glad to see a growing economy and
lowering unemployment. A few months ago, Republicans were certain Obama would be a one-term president, now they're not so sure.
The ultimate problem for the party is that they still
have an identity crisis. Similar to the Left in Britain, there is still an
ongoing argument on where the party should be positioned. This was reflected
in the votes, where four out of ten Florida voters thought Romney was not conservative enough (Washington Post). Much of the debates are dominated
by issues regarding immigration and ‘European-style socialism’. Although no Tea
Party backed candidate is running, their spirit is evident.
Yet it would be unwise to pander to such ideologies. Nearly 40 per cent of Americans declared themselves to be independent voters and many
of the issues raised by Tea Party members do not function in the day-to-day
lives of ordinary Americans. It could be a vote loser.
Romney will most likely win. His message is more consistent, he is better organised, he looks more like a leader; but it may not be enough to take
him to the White House. If not, then what do the Republicans do?
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